23/04/20 08:28
AX INTEL ANALYSIS: Iran & Economic Fallout of C19
DATE: 23APR2020
COVID-19’s impact on Iran, one of the early epicenters of the outbreak, has been particularly severe. With official figures (likely very under-reported when compared to the percentages coming from open societies) of nearly 75,000 confirmed cases and over 4,600 deaths, it is among the top 10 hardest hit countries. The outbreak is expected to peak around late May and researchers are worried that if the Iranian public and government do not adhere to significantly stricter quarantine and social distancing measures, COVID-19-related deaths could reach as high as 3.5 million or 4.3 percent of Iran’s total population… Read More...Tags: covid-19, Iran, economy, Intel analysis
13/04/20 06:41
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Egypt COVID-19 - cracks showing
DATE: 13APR2020
COVID-19 may be the ultimate unwelcome visitor. Its arrival was bad news but its stay is even worse and the longer that stay the more pressure it places on its hosts.
In Egypt, as with almost every country worldwide, that pressure is starting to show cracks. Read More...Tags: egypt, economics, covid-19
21/01/20 06:43
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Egypt - progress in Nile dam talks
DATE: 21JAN2020
Diplomacy rarely produces big, flashy outcomes. One is more likely to wind up with an infuriatingly slow, cumulative drip, drip, drip of incremental results that — hopefully — help to fill out the larger picture.
The tripartite talks between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan on the filling and operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) have been a case in point… Read More...Tags: economics, egypt, ethiopia, sudan, nile basin, gerd
06/01/20 07:02
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Syria’s 2020 outlook
DATE: 06JAN2020
No matter where you look, the prospects for Syria and its people in 2020 seem extremely grim. Militarily, the most concerning issue remains the fate of Idlib, where at least three million people – roughly 16 percent of Syria’s in-country population – remain crammed in a killing-zone that encompasses just 3.5 percent of its territory… Read More...Tags: syria, economics, military, Turkey, al-Qaida, ISIS
06/01/20 05:01
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Egypt’s 2020 outlook
DATE: 06JAN2020
The only prediction that one can make for certain for Egypt’s coming year is that it will be a hectic one.
Read More...Tags: egypt, economics, libya, gerd, nile basin
29/10/18 15:06
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Pakistan’s prime minister visits allies for aid
DATE: 29OCT2020
Later this week Pakistan’s prime minister, Imran Khan, will travel to China, the second foreign country he has visited since assuming office in August. The main purpose of his travel is the same as for his recent trip to Saudi Arabia: to acquire financial assistance to shore up a hemorrhaging Pakistan economy… Read More...Tags: china, pakistan, saudi arabia, economics, yemen
29/10/18 14:01
AX INTEL BULLETIN: Iran prepares for sanctions
DATE: 29OCT2020
On 28OCT, for the first time in its history, Iran sold some of its crude oil via an energy exchange house. This new approach of selling to anonymous private customers is part of Tehran’s efforts to evade US sanctions on Iranian oil, which are set to be imposed from Nov. 4. Whether it will be that much harder for Washington to identify… Read More...Tags: iran, sanctions, oil, economics